LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 07:04 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
NONGSHIM RED FORCE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01T04:11:09.449Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T04:19:25.534Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T04:25:42.093Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T04:32:36.937Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T04:43:31.288Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T04:48:40.581Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T04:54:11.646Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T04:59:20.024Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T05:04:43.018Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T05:10:39.013Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T05:16:39.004Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T05:26:30.705Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T05:32:19.179Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T05:38:21.920Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T05:43:39.834Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T05:49:31.339Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T05:54:47.241Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T05:59:56.991Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:05:02.991Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:11:13.982Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:19:26.079Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:25:15.963Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:30:28.467Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:35:37.687Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:47:53.126Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:54:57.832Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:00:30.833Z | 45.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:04:42.463Z | 45.5% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Red Force and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 1 against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against Nongshim Red Force. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.