Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 28, 2026, 18:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 28, 2026, 16:14 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
NO HOODWINK probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28T13:44:59.607Z | 88.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T13:50:03.405Z | 74.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T13:55:08.628Z | 74.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:00:14.695Z | 89.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:05:17.820Z | 61.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:10:21.858Z | 64.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:15:28.057Z | 67.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:20:33.305Z | 97.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:25:48.033Z | 86.7% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:30:52.792Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:36:10.535Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:41:25.650Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:46:27.833Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:51:32.349Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T14:56:37.518Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:01:41.409Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:06:47.578Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:11:52.538Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:17:00.044Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:22:03.817Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:27:07.565Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:32:12.600Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:37:17.441Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:42:20.251Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:47:21.054Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:52:23.739Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T15:57:25.962Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:02:31.061Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:07:35.481Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:12:36.066Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between No Hoodwink and PuckChamp in the EPL Masters Group B, initially scheduled for July 28 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "No Hoodwink" if No Hoodwink win Game 2 against PuckChamp. This market will resolve to "PuckChamp" if PuckChamp win Game 2 against No Hoodwink. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.