Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 24:40 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 22:39 UTCResult: TEAM FALCONSResolved: Jul 31, 2026, 22:31 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM FALCONS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T20:55:31.003Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T21:01:11.089Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T21:08:11.780Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T21:14:48.094Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T21:21:51.098Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T21:28:12.234Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T21:37:35.810Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T21:42:45.569Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T21:47:51.641Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T21:54:08.671Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T21:59:17.464Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T22:07:08.807Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T22:13:04.626Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T22:19:10.392Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T22:24:42.821Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T22:31:41.920Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T22:39:50.466Z | 100.0% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- No verified analysis was published before the market closed.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Falcons and Nigma Galaxy in the 1win Essence Group B, initially scheduled for July 31 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 2 against Nigma Galaxy. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 2 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.