LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 28, 2026, 14:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 28, 2026, 12:09 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
KT ROLSTER CHALLENGERS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28T10:24:07.626Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:29:17.435Z | 40.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:34:22.427Z | 22.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:39:30.783Z | 22.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:44:32.132Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:49:37.696Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:54:59.314Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:00:12.994Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:05:18.171Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:10:22.400Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:15:27.771Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:20:32.371Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:25:52.465Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:30:57.530Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:35:59.310Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:41:52.103Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:46:59.936Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:52:02.780Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:57:07.507Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T12:02:12.514Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T12:07:17.825Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between KT Rolster Challengers and Dplus KIA Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group, initially scheduled for July 28 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers" if KT Rolster Challengers win Game 1 against Dplus KIA Challengers. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win Game 1 against KT Rolster Challengers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.