LoL: SU Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 22:50 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 20:51 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
SU ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T17:51:32.490Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:56:42.318Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:01:56.402Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:07:20.169Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:15:04.795Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:20:56.394Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:26:20.129Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:31:24.053Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:37:17.656Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:42:23.907Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:47:31.723Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:52:48.676Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:57:58.514Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:03:03.262Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:10:48.405Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:16:48.886Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:23:23.655Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:28:33.596Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:33:44.192Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:39:22.610Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:44:50.666Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:50:01.450Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:55:14.191Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:00:26.512Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:12:22.988Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:19:27.206Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:28:33.654Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:36:39.783Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:41:47.030Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:46:54.791Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket round 1 match between SU Esports and Bushido Wildcats in the TCL Play-Ins, initially scheduled for July 30 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "SU Esports" if SU Esports win Game 1 against Bushido Wildcats. This market will resolve to "Bushido Wildcats" if Bushido Wildcats win Game 1 against SU Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.