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Economy · POLYMARKET · CLOSED

The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Sunrisers Leeds

Ends: Aug 14, 2026, 13:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 7, 2026, 22:27 UTCResult: SUNRISERS LEEDSResolved: Aug 7, 2026, 22:23 UTC

VERDICTNO PUBLISHED ANALYSIS

POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR

Probability divergence over time

POLYMARKET BIRMINGHAM PHOENIX 32.5%MARX FAIR BIRMINGHAM PHOENIX -
BIRMINGHAM PHOENIX probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair0%13%25%38%50%
MARX FAIRFair Price was not published: reliable data is insufficient.
Aug 07, 05:28 PMAug 07, 05:50 PMAug 07, 06:12 PMAug 07, 06:34 PMAug 07, 06:57 PM UTC

BIRMINGHAM PHOENIX probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair

Text equivalent of the chart
TimePolymarketMarx FairEdge
2026-08-07T17:28:13.567Z37.5%-
2026-08-07T18:57:03.108Z32.5%-

MARKET TIMELINE

Events are placed when they became available to the system

0 events

No linked events in this range.

INSUFFICIENT DATA

  • No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
  • No verified analysis was published before the market closed.
  • A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.

There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.

KEY RISKS

  • New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.

RESOLUTION CRITERIA

This market refers to the cricket match between Birmingham Phoenix and Sunrisers Leeds scheduled for August 7 2026 in The Hundred. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.