Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 03:45 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 01:59 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BESTIA probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T22:53:47.031Z | 67.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:58:55.331Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:04:33.559Z | 78.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:09:41.173Z | 70.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:14:46.528Z | 70.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:20:07.694Z | 59.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:25:23.199Z | 56.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:30:25.952Z | 47.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:35:43.160Z | 54.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:40:52.684Z | 52.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:46:11.066Z | 59.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:52:06.407Z | 78.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:57:18.961Z | 68.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:02:29.046Z | 71.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:12:25.257Z | 74.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:17:39.575Z | 52.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:23:23.779Z | 67.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:28:28.804Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:33:45.884Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:38:52.870Z | 86.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:44:03.687Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:49:17.272Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:54:50.291Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:59:57.135Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T01:05:42.354Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T01:12:17.122Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T01:20:55.240Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T01:26:12.133Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T01:33:45.125Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T01:57:42.605Z | 100.0% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between BESTIA and Galorys in the StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 30 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "BESTIA" if BESTIA win Map 2 against Galorys. This market will resolve to "Galorys" if Galorys win Map 2 against BESTIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.