LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 13, 2026, 22:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 13, 2026, 05:05 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
THE OTTER SIDE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13T00:14:43.426Z | 81.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T00:55:36.473Z | 80.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T01:55:59.817Z | 79.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T02:59:10.778Z | 79.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T04:04:54.324Z | 61.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-13T05:05:04.993Z | 73.0% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between The Otter Side and NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS in the LPLOL Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "The Otter Side" if The Otter Side win Game 1 against NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS. This market will resolve to "NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS" if NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS win Game 1 against The Otter Side. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.