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Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet

Ends: Aug 4, 2026, 08:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 28, 2026, 12:38 UTC

VERDICTINSUFFICIENT DATA

POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR

Probability divergence over time

POLYMARKET FRANCESCA JONES 80.5%MARX FAIR FRANCESCA JONES -
FRANCESCA JONES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair0255075100
MARX FAIRFair Price was not published: reliable data is insufficient.
Jul 28, 06:41 AMJul 28, 08:10 AMJul 28, 09:39 AMJul 28, 11:09 AMJul 28, 12:38 PM UTC

FRANCESCA JONES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair

Text equivalent of the chart
TimePolymarketMarx FairEdge
2026-07-28T10:10:22.347Z77.5%-—
2026-07-28T10:15:27.258Z77.5%-—
2026-07-28T10:20:32.394Z77.5%-—
2026-07-28T10:25:42.492Z77.5%-—
2026-07-28T10:30:47.450Z77.5%-—
2026-07-28T10:35:52.420Z77.5%-—
2026-07-28T10:41:15.313Z77.5%-—
2026-07-28T10:46:17.414Z77.5%-—
2026-07-28T10:51:22.235Z77.5%-—
2026-07-28T10:56:27.387Z78.5%-—
2026-07-28T11:01:32.866Z78.5%-—
2026-07-28T11:06:42.207Z79.5%-—
2026-07-28T11:11:47.338Z79.5%-—
2026-07-28T11:16:52.362Z79.5%-—
2026-07-28T11:21:57.668Z79.5%-—
2026-07-28T11:27:02.311Z79.5%-—
2026-07-28T11:32:07.805Z79.5%-—
2026-07-28T11:37:12.670Z79.5%-—
2026-07-28T11:42:17.571Z79.5%-—
2026-07-28T11:47:25.392Z79.5%-—
2026-07-28T11:52:27.860Z79.5%-—
2026-07-28T11:57:33.261Z79.5%-—
2026-07-28T12:02:37.043Z78.5%-—
2026-07-28T12:07:41.418Z79.0%-—
2026-07-28T12:12:43.540Z79.0%-—
2026-07-28T12:17:48.080Z79.0%-—
2026-07-28T12:22:53.187Z79.5%-—
2026-07-28T12:27:58.339Z80.5%-—
2026-07-28T12:33:10.136Z80.5%-—
2026-07-28T12:38:20.167Z80.5%-—

INSUFFICIENT DATA

  • No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
  • Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
  • A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.

There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.

KEY RISKS

  • New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.

RESOLUTION CRITERIA

This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Jones and Chloe Paquet in the Targu Mures, originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Jones' if Francesca Jones advances against Chloe Paquet. This market will resolve to 'Chloe Paquet' if Chloe Paquet advances against Francesca Jones. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.

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