Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 06:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 04:10 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
EVIL GENIUSES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01T01:56:02.498Z | 2.9% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T02:01:15.137Z | 0.6% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T02:06:26.672Z | 0.6% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T02:14:14.826Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T02:24:26.057Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T02:29:57.949Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T02:36:08.995Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T02:41:35.166Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T02:46:43.825Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T02:56:20.209Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T03:01:26.611Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T03:07:42.660Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T03:14:18.503Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T03:19:44.821Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T03:26:13.671Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T03:35:43.940Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T03:41:31.139Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T03:46:40.682Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T03:54:11.707Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T03:59:22.411Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T04:04:37.934Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T04:10:57.435Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 31 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Evil Geniuses" if Evil Geniuses win Map 2 against MIBR. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win Map 2 against Evil Geniuses. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.