LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 14:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 12:10 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
HANWHA LIFE ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T10:52:25.104Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T10:57:45.041Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:02:48.731Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:08:16.803Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:14:09.471Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:19:19.424Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:24:29.297Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:29:33.833Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:35:02.781Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:40:13.123Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:45:22.468Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:51:53.148Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:57:03.719Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:02:08.729Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:08:05.461Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between Hanwha Life Esports and Dplus KIA in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for July 30 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 1 against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against Hanwha Life Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.