Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 19:15 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 17:23 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
L1GA TEAM probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01T14:28:45.884Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T14:34:40.267Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T14:40:51.505Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T14:46:35.150Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T14:52:11.754Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T14:57:27.634Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T15:02:36.955Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T15:07:49.729Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T15:13:24.028Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T15:18:44.172Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T15:26:03.492Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T15:31:39.116Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T15:37:00.320Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T15:43:14.084Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T15:48:31.963Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T15:54:41.813Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T15:59:57.501Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T16:06:07.534Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T16:12:04.364Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T16:17:16.855Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T16:23:06.237Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T16:29:02.763Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T16:34:15.674Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T16:40:09.204Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T16:46:49.281Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T16:55:29.877Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T17:01:03.755Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T17:09:15.609Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T17:15:01.628Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T17:21:26.539Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Elimination match between L1ga Team and LGD Gaming in the Games of the Future Group D, initially scheduled for August 1 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "L1ga Team" if L1ga Team win Game 1 against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against L1ga Team. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.