China Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Rinko Matsuda
Ends: Oct 5, 2026, 04:30 UTCMarket data: Sep 28, 2026, 08:53 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the tennis match between Katarzyna Kawa and Rinko Matsuda in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katarzyna Kawa' if Katarzyna Kawa advances against Rinko Matsuda. This market will resolve to 'Rinko Matsuda' if Rinko Matsuda advances against Katarzyna Kawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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