LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 10:10 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
NONGSHIM RED FORCE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01T08:56:00.546Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:02:37.336Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:08:25.220Z | 41.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:17:05.587Z | 46.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:24:10.012Z | 3.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:30:17.760Z | 0.4% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:35:54.609Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:41:49.022Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:47:04.457Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:53:55.130Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:59:03.017Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:04:26.703Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:10:00.078Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Red Force and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 2 against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 2 against Nongshim Red Force. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.