Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 29, 2026, 21:45 UTCMarket data: Jul 29, 2026, 19:51 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
NEMIGA probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29T17:16:57.640Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T17:22:02.863Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T17:27:14.103Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T17:32:22.683Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T17:37:33.815Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T17:42:43.149Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T17:47:46.184Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T17:52:57.507Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T17:58:03.476Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:03:12.722Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:08:22.792Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:13:33.298Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:18:37.592Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:23:48.849Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:28:52.633Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:33:59.004Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:39:09.131Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:44:13.107Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:49:20.621Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:54:28.377Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:59:33.595Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:04:50.163Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:09:58.091Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:15:37.836Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:21:51.393Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:26:54.414Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:32:05.368Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:37:15.672Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:42:21.102Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:47:28.823Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Nemiga and TDK in the CIS LAN Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 29 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win Map 1 against TDK. This market will resolve to "TDK" if TDK win Map 1 against Nemiga. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.