LoL: SU Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 22:50 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 20:51 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
SU ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T19:51:42.676Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:56:53.721Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:02:08.214Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:12:20.909Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:19:27.336Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:28:32.815Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:35:13.957Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:40:20.325Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:45:25.488Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:50:41.556Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket round 1 match between SU Esports and Bushido Wildcats in the TCL Play-Ins, initially scheduled for July 30 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "SU Esports" if SU Esports win Game 2 against Bushido Wildcats. This market will resolve to "Bushido Wildcats" if Bushido Wildcats win Game 2 against SU Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.