Counter-Strike: regain vs Voca - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 29, 2026, 07:15 UTCMarket data: Jul 29, 2026, 04:37 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
REGAIN probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29T02:29:27.307Z | 6.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T02:34:30.717Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T02:39:36.495Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T02:44:41.251Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T02:49:43.916Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T02:54:45.969Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T02:59:50.794Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:04:57.008Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:10:00.970Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:15:06.074Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:20:11.047Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:25:16.346Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:30:20.994Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:35:26.173Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:40:31.012Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:45:42.523Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:50:45.178Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:55:46.700Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:00:51.671Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:06:01.410Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:11:11.172Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:16:16.524Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:21:21.225Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:26:26.586Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:31:31.510Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T04:36:36.727Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between regain and Voca in the StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 28 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "regain" if regain win Map 2 against Voca. This market will resolve to "Voca" if Voca win Map 2 against regain. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.