Dota 2: Midas Club vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 11:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 09:18 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
MIDAS CLUB probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01T08:43:28.037Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:48:33.315Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:56:00.546Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:02:37.336Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:08:25.220Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:17:05.587Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T09:24:10.013Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Elimination match between Midas Club and Team Resilience in the Games of the Future Group B, initially scheduled for August 1 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Midas Club" if Midas Club win Game 1 against Team Resilience. This market will resolve to "Team Resilience" if Team Resilience win Game 1 against Midas Club. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.