Dota 2: Midas Club vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 11:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 08:49 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
MIDAS CLUB probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01T05:54:50.717Z | 46.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T05:59:54.012Z | 39.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:05:00.275Z | 49.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:11:09.378Z | 97.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:19:21.944Z | 97.7% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:25:12.120Z | 99.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:30:23.931Z | 99.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:35:35.157Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:47:52.691Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:55:13.006Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:00:30.342Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:10:48.080Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:16:22.528Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:24:21.386Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:29:30.448Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:35:17.441Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:41:23.383Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:47:02.309Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:52:55.067Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:58:18.868Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:03:31.487Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:09:57.590Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:15:34.060Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:21:24.698Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:27:39.752Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:32:52.279Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:38:09.769Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:43:28.037Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:48:33.315Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:49:23.197Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Elimination match between Midas Club and Team Resilience in the Games of the Future Group B, initially scheduled for August 1 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Midas Club" if Midas Club win Game 1 against Team Resilience. This market will resolve to "Team Resilience" if Team Resilience win Game 1 against Midas Club. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.