Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 29, 2026, 16:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 29, 2026, 14:04 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
RE.ARISE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29T12:35:48.994Z | 26.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T12:41:00.458Z | 21.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T12:46:13.597Z | 22.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T12:51:20.140Z | 33.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T12:56:29.573Z | 68.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T13:01:39.286Z | 68.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T13:07:03.198Z | 55.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T13:12:10.167Z | 23.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T13:17:25.626Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T13:22:35.729Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T13:27:40.128Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T13:32:50.400Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T13:37:55.487Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T13:43:05.661Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T13:48:21.007Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T13:53:30.929Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T13:58:36.088Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T14:03:40.784Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between RE.Arise and Zero Tenacity in the EPL Masters Group B, initially scheduled for July 29 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "RE.Arise" if RE.Arise win Game 1 against Zero Tenacity. This market will resolve to "Zero Tenacity" if Zero Tenacity win Game 1 against RE.Arise. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.