Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 03:45 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 24:51 UTCResult: GALORYSResolved: Jul 31, 2026, 24:46 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BESTIA probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T22:52:52.274Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:57:54.750Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:03:11.254Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:08:33.318Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:13:38.925Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:18:44.816Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:23:56.402Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:29:08.641Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:34:10.478Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:39:27.107Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:44:29.488Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:50:21.501Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:55:35.031Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:00:55.260Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:06:13.475Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:12:25.257Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:17:39.575Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:23:23.779Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:28:28.804Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:33:45.884Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:38:52.870Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:44:03.687Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:49:20.655Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:51:15.532Z | 0.0% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- No verified analysis was published before the market closed.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between BESTIA and Galorys in the StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 30 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "BESTIA" if BESTIA win Map 1 against Galorys. This market will resolve to "Galorys" if Galorys win Map 1 against BESTIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.