Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Ends: Aug 4, 2026, 22:40 UTCMarket data: Jul 29, 2026, 01:35 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28T23:11:15.668Z | 69.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:16:20.215Z | 81.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:21:25.141Z | 81.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:26:35.930Z | 81.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:31:39.751Z | 81.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:36:43.458Z | 81.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:41:47.277Z | 81.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:46:51.234Z | 81.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:52:00.438Z | 81.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:57:05.487Z | 95.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:02:10.459Z | 95.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:07:15.720Z | 93.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:12:20.569Z | 93.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:17:25.610Z | 94.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:22:31.062Z | 96.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:27:35.627Z | 98.2% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:32:41.974Z | 98.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:37:46.939Z | 97.7% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:42:57.171Z | 97.8% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:48:11.600Z | 98.9% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:53:20.517Z | 98.8% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:58:45.647Z | 99.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T01:03:50.560Z | 99.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T01:09:01.089Z | 99.6% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T01:14:20.666Z | 99.7% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T01:19:26.066Z | 99.3% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T01:24:35.615Z | 92.8% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T01:29:42.186Z | 91.7% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T01:34:47.644Z | 97.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T01:35:14.743Z | 97.0% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for July 28 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.