Counter-Strike: MIBR vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 24:25 UTCMarket data: Jul 29, 2026, 22:36 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
MIBR probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29T22:08:43.548Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T22:13:48.637Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T22:18:53.268Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T22:24:03.165Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T22:29:09.061Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T22:34:24.239Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between MIBR and largadosypelados in the StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 29 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win Map 2 against largadosypelados. This market will resolve to "largadosypelados" if largadosypelados win Map 2 against MIBR. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.