Counter-Strike: MIBR vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 24:25 UTCMarket data: Jul 29, 2026, 22:12 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
MIBR probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29T19:51:34.307Z | 79.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:56:38.488Z | 75.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:01:43.631Z | 85.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:07:11.491Z | 54.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:12:24.092Z | 37.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:17:34.316Z | 30.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:22:40.435Z | 13.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:27:48.194Z | 28.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:32:54.393Z | 67.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:37:59.863Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:43:09.166Z | 98.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:48:25.928Z | 99.8% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:53:34.039Z | 99.8% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:58:45.845Z | 99.8% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T21:03:54.298Z | 99.7% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T21:10:40.472Z | 99.8% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T21:18:06.034Z | 99.8% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T21:24:39.441Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T21:29:59.429Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T21:35:14.520Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T21:41:30.493Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T21:46:41.613Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T21:52:36.280Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T21:57:48.738Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T22:02:56.322Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T22:08:43.548Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T22:12:28.940Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between MIBR and largadosypelados in the StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 29 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win Map 2 against largadosypelados. This market will resolve to "largadosypelados" if largadosypelados win Map 2 against MIBR. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.