Dota 2: GLYPH vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 21:40 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 19:54 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
GLYPH probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01T16:57:25.186Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T17:02:58.665Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T17:09:15.608Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T17:15:01.628Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T17:21:26.539Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T17:28:44.516Z | 99.6% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T17:34:59.287Z | 99.7% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T17:41:31.068Z | 99.7% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T17:47:04.680Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T17:52:44.553Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T17:59:04.333Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:04:28.313Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:12:27.225Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:18:19.052Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:25:45.568Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:31:36.953Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:39:14.880Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:45:14.813Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:51:12.858Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:57:31.012Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:03:52.817Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:12:20.760Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:18:17.397Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:25:34.011Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:32:48.350Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:39:21.053Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:44:55.005Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:52:33.550Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Winners match between GLYPH and Zero Tenacity in the Games of the Future Group C, initially scheduled for August 1 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GLYPH" if GLYPH win Game 1 against Zero Tenacity. This market will resolve to "Zero Tenacity" if Zero Tenacity win Game 1 against GLYPH. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.