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The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giants

Ends: Aug 4, 2026, 14:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 28, 2026, 17:57 UTC

VERDICTFAIR VALUE CALCULATING

POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR

Probability divergence over time

POLYMARKET SUNRISERS LEEDS 0.1%MARX FAIR SUNRISERS LEEDS -
SUNRISERS LEEDS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair0255075100
MARX FAIRFair Price is calculating. The line appears after data validation.
Jul 28, 02:09 PMJul 28, 03:06 PMJul 28, 04:03 PMJul 28, 05:00 PMJul 28, 05:57 PM UTC

SUNRISERS LEEDS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair

Text equivalent of the chart
TimePolymarketMarx FairEdge
2026-07-28T15:31:04.890Z52.0%-
2026-07-28T15:36:13.102Z48.5%-
2026-07-28T15:41:16.409Z48.5%-
2026-07-28T15:46:19.276Z58.0%-
2026-07-28T15:51:21.353Z42.5%-
2026-07-28T15:56:26.680Z52.0%-
2026-07-28T16:01:31.981Z43.0%-
2026-07-28T16:06:36.638Z75.5%-
2026-07-28T16:11:41.794Z70.0%-
2026-07-28T16:16:47.186Z76.0%-
2026-07-28T16:21:53.099Z79.5%-
2026-07-28T16:26:56.747Z70.5%-
2026-07-28T16:32:02.528Z45.0%-
2026-07-28T16:37:07.364Z0.5%-
2026-07-28T16:42:12.366Z0.1%-
2026-07-28T16:47:17.903Z0.1%-
2026-07-28T16:52:22.163Z0.1%-
2026-07-28T16:57:39.346Z0.1%-
2026-07-28T17:03:30.840Z0.1%-
2026-07-28T17:09:05.286Z0.1%-
2026-07-28T17:14:09.320Z0.1%-
2026-07-28T17:19:13.946Z0.1%-
2026-07-28T17:24:19.297Z0.1%-
2026-07-28T17:29:46.434Z0.1%-
2026-07-28T17:34:55.309Z0.1%-
2026-07-28T17:40:02.531Z0.1%-
2026-07-28T17:45:12.574Z0.1%-
2026-07-28T17:50:15.328Z0.1%-
2026-07-28T17:55:22.565Z0.1%-
2026-07-28T17:57:52.946Z0.1%-

FAIR PRICE CALCULATION

  • Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
  • A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.

There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.

KEY RISKS

  • New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.

RESOLUTION CRITERIA

This market refers to the cricket match between Sunrisers Leeds and Manchester Super Giants scheduled for July 28 2026 in The Hundred, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.