Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 21:20 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 18:25 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
3DMAX probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T15:52:47.209Z | 55.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:58:03.246Z | 58.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:03:20.163Z | 58.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:24:59.814Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:30:38.599Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:38:03.689Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:46:48.438Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:52:08.030Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:57:12.587Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:02:17.870Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:09:05.351Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:14:51.962Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:25:02.858Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:30:15.289Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:35:40.365Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:40:45.903Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:45:55.404Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:51:27.409Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:56:33.684Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:01:43.976Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:07:19.970Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:15:04.681Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:20:45.356Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:26:00.367Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between 3DMAX and MOUZ in the BLAST Bounty Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 31 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "3DMAX" if 3DMAX win Map 1 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against 3DMAX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.