Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 14:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 12:45 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
FAZE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01T10:55:44.639Z | 32.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:01:01.115Z | 32.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:07:35.818Z | 30.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:12:47.181Z | 30.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:18:01.481Z | 30.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:23:31.658Z | 31.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:28:44.467Z | 31.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:35:21.856Z | 13.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:40:36.471Z | 13.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:46:03.406Z | 29.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:51:59.466Z | 22.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:57:25.204Z | 37.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:02:30.822Z | 20.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:14:20.239Z | 89.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:21:15.071Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:28:57.294Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:34:04.238Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:40:19.147Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:45:39.033Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between FaZe and Spirit in the BLAST Bounty Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 1 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "FaZe" if FaZe win Map 2 against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against FaZe. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.