Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 20:30 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 17:32 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
NIGMA GALAXY probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T15:52:47.209Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:58:03.246Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:03:20.163Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:24:59.814Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:30:38.597Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:38:03.689Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:46:48.438Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:52:08.029Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:57:12.587Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:02:17.870Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:09:05.351Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:14:51.962Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:25:02.858Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:30:15.289Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:35:40.365Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and Vici Gaming in the 1win Essence Group B, initially scheduled for July 30 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 1 against Vici Gaming. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win Game 1 against Nigma Galaxy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.