Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 29, 2026, 23:15 UTCMarket data: Jul 29, 2026, 21:24 UTCResult: TEAM VITALITYResolved: Jul 29, 2026, 21:21 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
GENTLE MATES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29T18:51:37.337Z | 8.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:56:54.074Z | 3.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:01:58.211Z | 1.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:07:03.410Z | 4.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:12:08.234Z | 5.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:17:17.543Z | 3.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:22:29.459Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:27:32.962Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:32:45.488Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:37:52.926Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:43:04.226Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:48:07.950Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:53:18.752Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:58:24.082Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:03:28.327Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:09:14.673Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:14:30.327Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:19:45.347Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:24:56.050Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:29:59.786Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:35:04.950Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:40:14.400Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:45:18.647Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:51:02.800Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T20:56:13.877Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T21:01:24.232Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T21:10:40.621Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T21:18:06.063Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T21:24:08.665Z | 0.1% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- No verified analysis was published before the market closed.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant match between Gentle Mates and Team Vitality in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 29 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win Map 2 against Team Vitality. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win Map 2 against Gentle Mates. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.