LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 15:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 13:40 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
MVK ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01T12:52:43.447Z | 62.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:57:56.962Z | 87.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T13:03:01.547Z | 83.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T13:11:16.065Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T13:16:38.334Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T13:24:53.460Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T13:30:01.064Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T13:35:25.189Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T13:40:57.203Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between MVK Esports and GAM Esports in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 1 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win Game 2 against GAM Esports. This market will resolve to "GAM Esports" if GAM Esports win Game 2 against MVK Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.