Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 22:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 20:45 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM FALCONS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01T18:41:07.602Z | 74.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:46:46.449Z | 74.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:55:58.928Z | 80.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:01:20.453Z | 77.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:08:15.244Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:14:03.447Z | 35.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:19:54.229Z | 35.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:25:33.754Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:32:47.180Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:39:21.053Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:44:55.004Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:52:33.550Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:59:26.800Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T20:05:15.934Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T20:16:11.658Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T20:23:14.329Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T20:30:13.702Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T20:39:35.284Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T20:45:39.892Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Falcons and OG in the 1win Essence Group B, initially scheduled for August 1 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 2 against OG. This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win Game 2 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.