Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 23:10 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 19:42 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
XTREME GAMING probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T18:46:33.339Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T18:53:28.575Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T18:58:42.486Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T19:03:51.468Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T19:11:16.654Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T19:17:42.617Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T19:23:07.196Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T19:28:29.612Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T19:33:47.398Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T19:39:45.217Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T19:42:39.722Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Xtreme Gaming and LGD Gaming in the Games of the Future Group D, initially scheduled for July 31 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win Game 1 against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against Xtreme Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.