Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 01:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 23:07 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
KRÜ ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T21:52:16.032Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:57:24.175Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:02:26.777Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:12:33.433Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:17:59.229Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:28:00.124Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:33:06.557Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:38:18.403Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:43:25.182Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:48:31.180Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:53:45.933Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:58:56.084Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:04:33.468Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant match between KRÜ Esports and G2 Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 30 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "KRÜ Esports" if KRÜ Esports win Map 1 against G2 Esports. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win Map 1 against KRÜ Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.