LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 22, 2026, 20:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 22, 2026, 18:14 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
LEVIATAN ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21T21:40:23.971Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-21T22:40:32.399Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-21T23:36:41.145Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T00:35:55.291Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T01:39:13.596Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T02:48:26.842Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T03:47:18.020Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T04:53:26.794Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T06:02:12.010Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T07:00:52.456Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T07:59:20.535Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T09:03:45.751Z | 20.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T10:06:54.475Z | 19.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T11:09:16.383Z | 19.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T12:16:30.932Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T13:18:25.558Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T14:22:45.623Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T15:24:51.102Z | 20.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T16:29:54.275Z | 2.4% | - | — |
| 2026-08-22T17:31:07.062Z | 0.1% | - | — |
MARKET TIMELINE
Events are placed when they became available to the system
No linked events in this range.
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between Leviatan Esports and Vivo Keyd Stars in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Leviatan Esports" if Leviatan Esports win Game 1 against Vivo Keyd Stars. This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars" if Vivo Keyd Stars win Game 1 against Leviatan Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.