LoL: PCIFIC vs BoostGate Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 18:30 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 16:32 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
PCIFIC probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T14:52:37.615Z | 81.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T14:57:52.452Z | 69.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:02:54.960Z | 74.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:13:38.042Z | 85.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:18:43.996Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:23:48.432Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:29:11.839Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:34:32.549Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:40:20.935Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:45:28.394Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:50:34.093Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:56:15.685Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:01:27.663Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:07:12.400Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:24:59.814Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:30:38.599Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket round 1 match between PCIFIC and BoostGate Esports in the TCL Play-Ins, initially scheduled for July 30 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "PCIFIC " if PCIFIC win Game 1 against BoostGate Esports. This market will resolve to "BoostGate Esports" if BoostGate Esports win Game 1 against PCIFIC . If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.