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UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends: Aug 2, 2026, 03:59 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 19:39 UTC

VERDICTINSUFFICIENT DATA

POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR

Probability divergence over time

POLYMARKET JAN BLACHOWICZ 0.1%MARX FAIR JAN BLACHOWICZ -
JAN BLACHOWICZ probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair0255075100
MARX FAIRFair Price was not published: reliable data is insufficient.
Jul 27, 02:31 AMJul 28, 12:48 PMJul 29, 11:05 PMJul 31, 09:22 AMAug 01, 07:39 PM UTC

JAN BLACHOWICZ probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair

Text equivalent of the chart
TimePolymarketMarx FairEdge
2026-08-01T12:14:20.239Z26.5%-—
2026-08-01T12:34:04.238Z26.5%-—
2026-08-01T12:45:39.033Z26.5%-—
2026-08-01T13:02:30.122Z26.5%-—
2026-08-01T13:16:38.334Z26.5%-—
2026-08-01T13:35:25.189Z26.5%-—
2026-08-01T13:46:06.707Z26.5%-—
2026-08-01T13:58:16.357Z26.5%-—
2026-08-01T14:16:22.054Z25.5%-—
2026-08-01T14:28:46.183Z25.5%-—
2026-08-01T14:46:34.920Z25.5%-—
2026-08-01T14:57:27.274Z25.5%-—
2026-08-01T15:18:44.339Z26.5%-—
2026-08-01T15:31:39.175Z26.5%-—
2026-08-01T15:48:32.724Z26.5%-—
2026-08-01T15:59:57.528Z26.5%-—
2026-08-01T16:17:17.312Z26.5%-—
2026-08-01T16:29:02.444Z26.5%-—
2026-08-01T16:46:48.811Z26.5%-—
2026-08-01T16:59:10.725Z26.5%-—
2026-08-01T17:17:38.174Z26.5%-—
2026-08-01T17:28:44.222Z24.5%-—
2026-08-01T17:46:55.759Z23.5%-—
2026-08-01T17:58:56.398Z23.5%-—
2026-08-01T18:18:18.361Z23.5%-—
2026-08-01T18:31:36.655Z23.5%-—
2026-08-01T18:51:12.419Z23.5%-—
2026-08-01T19:03:52.817Z0.1%-—
2026-08-01T19:25:33.754Z0.1%-—
2026-08-01T19:39:21.053Z0.1%-—

INSUFFICIENT DATA

  • No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
  • Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
  • A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.

There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.

KEY RISKS

  • New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.

RESOLUTION CRITERIA

This market will resolve to "Jan Blachowicz" if Jan Blachowicz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Navajo Stirling at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Navajo Stirling" if Navajo Stirling is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.

TRADE JAN BLACHOWICZ/NAVAJO STIRLINGWHY NO ANALYSISSTRATEGY