LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 15:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 13:07 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
FUKUOKA SOFTBANK HAWKS GAMING probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T10:52:25.722Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T10:57:44.821Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:02:48.773Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:08:12.949Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:14:08.749Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:19:19.332Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:24:25.489Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:29:34.572Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:35:03.592Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:40:14.810Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:45:23.096Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:51:54.330Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:57:04.987Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:02:08.869Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:08:05.084Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:13:20.801Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:18:29.080Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:23:50.666Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:28:54.837Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:34:08.385Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:39:14.088Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:44:28.917Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:50:07.530Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:55:11.961Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T13:00:24.726Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T13:05:54.050Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming and DetonatioN FocusMe in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 30 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming" if Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming win Game 2 against DetonatioN FocusMe. This market will resolve to "DetonatioN FocusMe" if DetonatioN FocusMe win Game 2 against Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.