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Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Ends: Jul 25, 2026, 23:25 UTCMarket data: Jul 25, 2026, 21:32 UTC

VERDICTINSUFFICIENT DATA

POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR

Probability divergence over time

POLYMARKET FOKUS 0.1%MARX FAIR FOKUS -
FOKUS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair0255075100
MARX FAIRFair Price was not published: reliable data is insufficient.
Jul 25, 11:57 AMJul 25, 02:21 PMJul 25, 04:44 PMJul 25, 07:08 PMJul 25, 09:32 PM UTC

FOKUS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair

Text equivalent of the chart
TimePolymarketMarx FairEdge
2026-07-25T11:57:03.442Z21.5%-
2026-07-25T12:58:35.586Z22.5%-
2026-07-25T13:59:30.362Z21.5%-
2026-07-25T14:56:01.975Z21.5%-
2026-07-25T15:58:52.034Z21.5%-
2026-07-25T16:55:10.796Z21.5%-
2026-07-25T17:56:34.098Z15.5%-
2026-07-25T18:58:31.108Z4.5%-
2026-07-25T19:59:46.750Z0.1%-
2026-07-25T20:56:02.241Z0.1%-
2026-07-25T21:32:53.129Z0.1%-

INSUFFICIENT DATA

  • No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
  • Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
  • A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.

There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.

KEY RISKS

  • New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.

RESOLUTION CRITERIA

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between FOKUS and MOUZ in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 25 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win the match against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against FOKUS. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.