Politics·Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 316.5%September 301.1%
Outcome probability history0%4%8%11%15%
Jul 16, 10:59 AMJul 30, 08:28 PM

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

0/2 Estimate coverage- Max confidencePending Updated