World·Yemen

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela82.5%
Outcome probability history0%22%45%68%90%
Aug 12, 10:05 AMAug 13, 10:00 AM

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

0/16 Estimate coverage- Max confidencePending Updated