GPT-6 released by…?
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
$134.6K Vol. · $9.6K liquidityWill GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
$104.2K Vol. · $5.7K liquidityWill GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?
$62.0K Vol. · $9.9K liquidityWill GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?
$73.5K Vol. · $6.7K liquidityWill GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?
$93.3K Vol. · $19.4K liquidityThis market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.