Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 29, 2026, 21:45 UTCMarket data: Jul 29, 2026, 19:40 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
NEMIGA probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29T17:51:55.144Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T17:57:04.786Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:02:09.260Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:07:17.915Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:12:20.684Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:17:25.743Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:22:28.570Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:27:35.389Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:32:45.285Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:37:52.373Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:42:55.771Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:48:01.426Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:53:20.362Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T18:58:30.478Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:03:34.110Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:08:39.868Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:13:49.332Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:18:53.820Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:24:01.143Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:29:10.816Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:34:28.341Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:39:36.340Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T19:40:04.040Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Nemiga and TDK in the CIS LAN Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 29 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win Map 2 against TDK. This market will resolve to "TDK" if TDK win Map 2 against Nemiga. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.