LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 12:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 01:13 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
GEN.G probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T22:33:10.296Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:38:17.902Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:43:27.867Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:48:35.249Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:53:48.647Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:58:55.428Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:04:35.783Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:09:43.919Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:14:49.555Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:20:09.980Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:25:22.672Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:30:29.775Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:35:46.173Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:40:55.390Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:46:14.086Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:52:01.478Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T23:57:18.609Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:02:32.074Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:12:25.263Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:17:46.519Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:23:23.490Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:28:29.435Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:33:46.921Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:38:54.524Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:44:05.676Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:49:22.554Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:54:50.864Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T00:59:59.711Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T01:11:27.668Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T01:13:25.002Z | 60.5% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between Gen.G and T1 in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for July 31 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 1 against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 1 against Gen.G. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.