Counter-Strike: regain vs Chicken Coop Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 06:40 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 04:34 UTCResult: REGAINResolved: Jul 31, 2026, 04:09 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
REGAIN probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T02:01:11.103Z | 62.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T02:14:35.240Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T02:25:25.203Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T02:34:28.381Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T02:39:43.894Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T02:44:57.896Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T02:50:31.995Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T02:56:08.018Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T03:01:31.502Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T03:23:22.047Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T03:29:21.618Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T03:36:55.557Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T03:42:18.184Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T03:49:30.504Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T03:56:45.561Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T04:06:33.734Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T04:34:01.461Z | 100.0% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- No verified analysis was published before the market closed.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between regain and Chicken Coop Esports in the StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 30 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "regain" if regain win Map 1 against Chicken Coop Esports. This market will resolve to "Chicken Coop Esports" if Chicken Coop Esports win Map 1 against regain. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.