Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 03:59 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 19:02 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
YES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T14:56:16.215Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T15:01:35.914Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T15:07:21.100Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T15:13:20.929Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T15:28:34.456Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T15:34:06.130Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T15:40:18.990Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T15:45:47.415Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:01:45.679Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:13:45.322Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:22:53.814Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:34:30.607Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:40:08.389Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:45:42.581Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:56:24.543Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:11:33.022Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:17:53.836Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:25:26.676Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:32:31.403Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:43:49.304Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:48:57.390Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:54:54.414Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T18:00:28.558Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T18:20:13.761Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T18:26:07.423Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T18:33:05.827Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T18:41:22.657Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T18:53:28.869Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T18:58:46.234Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T19:02:11.103Z | 0.1% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of July 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Silver (XAGUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Silver (XAGUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Silver Futures (SI)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.