Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 21:10 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 18:04 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
YAKULT BROTHERS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T15:56:39.139Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:01:45.680Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:13:45.322Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:22:53.814Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:28:43.860Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:34:30.607Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:40:08.389Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:45:42.582Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T16:56:24.544Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:02:27.742Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:11:33.022Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:17:53.836Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:25:26.676Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:32:31.404Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:38:33.049Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:43:49.304Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:48:57.390Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T17:54:54.414Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T18:00:28.558Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Yakult Brothers and Zero Tenacity in the Games of the Future Group C, initially scheduled for July 31 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yakult Brothers" if Yakult Brothers win Game 1 against Zero Tenacity. This market will resolve to "Zero Tenacity" if Zero Tenacity win Game 1 against Yakult Brothers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.