Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 04:15 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 01:28 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
FLUXO W7M probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29T23:51:08.491Z | 1.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T23:56:13.570Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:01:33.346Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:07:11.513Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:12:24.458Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:17:33.904Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:22:44.294Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:27:51.086Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:32:58.764Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:38:03.982Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:43:24.706Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:48:28.340Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:53:44.674Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:58:51.218Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T01:03:56.810Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T01:09:01.905Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T01:14:24.690Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T01:19:44.333Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T01:24:46.771Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T01:28:49.119Z | 0.1% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between Fluxo W7M and Bounty Hunters Esports in the StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 29 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win Map 2 against Bounty Hunters Esports. This market will resolve to "Bounty Hunters Esports" if Bounty Hunters Esports win Map 2 against Fluxo W7M. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.