Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Atputies - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 14:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 08:10 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
LIQUID probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01T05:28:40.580Z | 65.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T05:41:23.968Z | 67.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T05:47:31.310Z | 67.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T05:54:49.223Z | 67.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T05:59:58.390Z | 68.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:05:33.577Z | 68.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:11:22.678Z | 68.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:19:26.043Z | 68.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:25:15.847Z | 68.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:30:29.827Z | 68.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:35:41.255Z | 68.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:48:16.845Z | 68.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T06:54:56.739Z | 69.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:00:39.065Z | 69.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:10:50.387Z | 69.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:16:24.093Z | 69.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:24:29.178Z | 68.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:30:50.987Z | 69.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:36:27.222Z | 69.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:41:33.583Z | 68.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:47:05.090Z | 68.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:53:04.975Z | 67.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:58:22.900Z | 66.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:03:36.093Z | 67.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:09:59.624Z | 66.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:10:07.933Z | 66.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Liquid and Atputies in the Stake Pulse Beat I Group B, initially scheduled for August 1 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win Map 2 against Atputies. This market will resolve to "Atputies" if Atputies win Map 2 against Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.