LoL: UB Alma Mater vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 28, 2026, 19:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 28, 2026, 17:13 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
UB ALMA MATER probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28T16:14:33.930Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:19:37.935Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:24:43.095Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:29:53.538Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:34:58.059Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:40:03.288Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:45:08.286Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:50:11.939Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T16:55:13.302Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:00:22.220Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:06:27.462Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T17:11:30.550Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between UB Alma Mater and UCAM Esports Club in the LES Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 28 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "UB Alma Mater" if UB Alma Mater win Game 1 against UCAM Esports Club. This market will resolve to "UCAM Esports Club" if UCAM Esports Club win Game 1 against UB Alma Mater. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.